2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Navy at UAB
Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Protective Stadium
Navy
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 46
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
UAB
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.8
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 3.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Navy
90%
UAB
10%
UAB 90% CI: 7% – 14% Δ rating 22.0
Navy is the model's favorite at 90%. UAB has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for UAB — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Navy offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UAB offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Protective Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No