2026 Week 3
UAB at Louisiana
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Cajun Field
UAB
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.8
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 3.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Louisiana
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.1
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 1.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UAB
29%
Louisiana
71%
Louisiana 90% CI: 63% – 78% Δ rating 5.7
Louisiana is the model's favorite at 71%. UAB has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Louisiana — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UAB offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Louisiana offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Cajun Field
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No