2026 Week 3
Temple at Toledo
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Glass Bowl
Temple
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -5.1
- National rank
- 88
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Toledo
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.0
- National rank
- 48
- Proj. wins
- 8.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Temple
17%
Toledo
83%
Toledo 90% CI: 77% – 88% Δ rating 11.1
Toledo is the model's favorite at 83%. Temple has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Toledo — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Temple offense
26 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Toledo offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Glass Bowl
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No