2026 Week 3
Western Michigan at Rice
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Rice Stadium
Western Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.4
- National rank
- 78
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Rice
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.8
- National rank
- 120
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Western Michigan
76%
Rice
24%
Rice 90% CI: 18% – 32% Δ rating 13.4
Western Michigan is the model's favorite at 76%. Rice has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Rice — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Western Michigan offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Rice offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Rice Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No