2026 Week 2
Tulsa at Sam Houston
Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.0
- National rank
- 104
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Sam Houston
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -27.8
- National rank
- 135
- Proj. wins
- 0.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Tulsa
88%
Sam Houston
12%
Sam Houston 90% CI: 9% – 17% Δ rating 17.8
Tulsa is the model's favorite at 88%. Sam Houston has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Sam Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=9 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Tulsa offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Sam Houston offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No