2026 Week 2 · Conference game
Navy at Florida Atlantic
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
FAU Stadium
Navy
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 46
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.7
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Navy
86%
Florida Atlantic
14%
Florida Atlantic 90% CI: 10% – 19% Δ rating 14.9
Navy is the model's favorite at 86%. Florida Atlantic has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Florida Atlantic — venue-specific night-game value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Navy offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida Atlantic offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- FAU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No