2026 Week 1 FINAL
Florida International at South Florida
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Raymond James Stadium
9
Florida International
Final
19
South Florida
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida International | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| South Florida | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 19 |
GIE pre-game call: South Florida at 88%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Florida International
Conference USA
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -12.3
- National rank
- 112
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
South Florida
American Athletic
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 1.9
- National rank
- 66
- Proj. wins
- 9.5
- Playoff prob.
- 31%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida International
12%
South Florida
88%
South Florida 90% CI: 83% – 91% Δ rating 14.2
South Florida is the model's favorite at 88%. Florida International has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for South Florida — venue-specific night-game value (n=49 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No