2026 Week 4
UConn at Miami (OH)
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Yager Stadium
UConn
FBS Independents
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 8.1
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UConn
71%
Miami (OH)
29%
Miami (OH) 90% CI: 22% – 37% Δ rating 8.5
UConn is the model's favorite at 71%. Miami (OH) has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Miami (OH) — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UConn offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Miami (OH) offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Yager Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No