2026 Week 4
UConn at Miami (OH)
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Yager Stadium
UConn
FBS Independents
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -5.2
- National rank
- 86
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -6.0
- National rank
- 92
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UConn
48%
Miami (OH)
52%
Miami (OH) 90% CI: 42% – 61% Δ rating 0.8
Miami (OH) is the model's favorite at 52%. UConn has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Miami (OH) — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UConn offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Miami (OH) offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
62°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
5 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Yager Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No