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2026 Week 12

Old Dominion at UConn

Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC

Pratt & Whitney Stadium

Old Dominion
Sun Belt
Record
1-2
Rating
-7.0
National rank
97
Proj. wins
5.0
Playoff prob.
0%
UConn
FBS Independents
Record
2-1
Rating
-5.2
National rank
86
Proj. wins
7.4
Playoff prob.
2%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Old Dominion
39%
UConn
61%
UConn 90% CI: 52% – 70% Δ rating 1.8

UConn is the model's favorite at 61%. Old Dominion has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.9 rating points baked in for UConn — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Old Dominion offense
41 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

UConn offense
32 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC
Venue
Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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