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2026 Week 8

Massachusetts at UConn

Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC

Pratt & Whitney Stadium

Massachusetts
Mid-American
Record
3-0
Rating
-19.9
National rank
131
Proj. wins
9.0
Playoff prob.
3%
UConn
FBS Independents
Record
2-1
Rating
-5.2
National rank
86
Proj. wins
7.4
Playoff prob.
2%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Massachusetts
11%
UConn
89%
UConn 90% CI: 85% – 92% Δ rating 14.7

UConn is the model's favorite at 89%. Massachusetts has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.9 rating points baked in for UConn — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Massachusetts offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

UConn offense
44 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Venue
Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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