4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 3 FINAL

UConn at Southern Miss

Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC

M. M. Roberts Stadium

48
UConn
Final
20
Southern Miss
Team 1234 T
UConn 1413147 48
Southern Miss 3377 20

GIE pre-game call: UConn at 84%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

UConn
FBS Independents
Record
2-1
Rating
-5.2
National rank
86
Proj. wins
7.4
Playoff prob.
2%
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
Record
1-2
Rating
-19.1
National rank
127
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

UConn
84%
Southern Miss
16%
Southern Miss 90% CI: 11% – 21% Δ rating 13.9

UConn is the model's favorite at 84%. Southern Miss has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.4 rating points baked in for Southern Miss — venue-specific night-game value (n=50 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Venue
M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
Share

← Home