2026 Week 3
UConn at Southern Miss
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
M. M. Roberts Stadium
UConn
FBS Independents
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 8.1
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -7.1
- National rank
- 94
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UConn
82%
Southern Miss
18%
Southern Miss 90% CI: 13% – 24% Δ rating 12.2
UConn is the model's favorite at 82%. Southern Miss has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.1 rating points baked in for Southern Miss — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UConn offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Southern Miss offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- M. M. Roberts Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No