2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Oregon State at Fresno State
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Valley Children's Stadium
Oregon State
Pac-12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -2.5
- National rank
- 78
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Fresno State
Pac-12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -0.4
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oregon State
36%
Fresno State
64%
Fresno State 90% CI: 55% – 72% Δ rating 2.1
Fresno State is the model's favorite at 64%. Oregon State has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Fresno State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oregon State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Fresno State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Valley Children's Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No