2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Washington State at Texas State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Washington State
Pac-12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -5.6
- National rank
- 88
- Proj. wins
- 4.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas State
Pac-12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -5.9
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Washington State
47%
Texas State
53%
Texas State 90% CI: 44% – 62% Δ rating 0.3
Texas State is the model's favorite at 53%. Washington State has a 47% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific night-game value (n=52 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Washington State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Bobcat Stadium (TX)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No