4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 12

Utah State at Oregon State

Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Reser Stadium

Utah State
Pac-12
Record
0-0
Rating
-3.1
National rank
79
Proj. wins
4.6
Playoff prob.
0%
Oregon State
Pac-12
Record
0-0
Rating
-15.9
National rank
126
Proj. wins
2.7
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Utah State
75%
Oregon State
25%
Oregon State 90% CI: 18% – 32% Δ rating 12.8

Utah State is the model's favorite at 75%. Oregon State has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for Oregon State — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Utah State offense
37 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Oregon State offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Reser Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

← Home