2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Colorado State at Fresno State
Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Valley Children's Stadium
Colorado State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.6
- National rank
- 124
- Proj. wins
- 2.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Fresno State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.8
- National rank
- 66
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Colorado State
8%
Fresno State
92%
Fresno State 90% CI: 89% – 95% Δ rating 17.4
Fresno State is the model's favorite at 92%. Colorado State has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Fresno State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Colorado State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Fresno State offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Valley Children's Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No