2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Colorado State at Fresno State
Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC
Valley Children's Stadium
Colorado State
Pac-12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -6.6
- National rank
- 96
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Fresno State
Pac-12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -0.4
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Colorado State
25%
Fresno State
75%
Fresno State 90% CI: 67% – 81% Δ rating 6.2
Fresno State is the model's favorite at 75%. Colorado State has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Fresno State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Colorado State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Fresno State offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Valley Children's Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No