2026 Week 11
Fresno State at Texas State
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Fresno State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.8
- National rank
- 66
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 2.3
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Fresno State
45%
Texas State
55%
Texas State 90% CI: 46% – 64% Δ rating 0.5
Texas State is the model's favorite at 55%. Fresno State has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.1 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Fresno State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Bobcat Stadium (TX)
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No