2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Fresno State at Utah State
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
Maverik Stadium
Fresno State
Pac-12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -0.4
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
Utah State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -9.3
- National rank
- 106
- Proj. wins
- 2.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Fresno State
67%
Utah State
33%
Utah State 90% CI: 26% – 42% Δ rating 8.9
Fresno State is the model's favorite at 67%. Utah State has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Utah State — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Fresno State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Utah State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Maverik Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No