2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Fresno State at Utah State
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Maverik Stadium
Fresno State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.8
- National rank
- 66
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Utah State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.1
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Fresno State
55%
Utah State
45%
Utah State 90% CI: 36% – 55% Δ rating 4.9
Fresno State is the model's favorite at 55%. Utah State has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Utah State — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Fresno State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Utah State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Maverik Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No