2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Texas State at Oregon State
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 3:30 AM UTC
Reser Stadium
Texas State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 2.3
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Oregon State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.9
- National rank
- 126
- Proj. wins
- 2.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Texas State
86%
Oregon State
14%
Oregon State 90% CI: 10% – 20% Δ rating 18.2
Texas State is the model's favorite at 86%. Oregon State has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for Oregon State — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Texas State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Oregon State offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 3:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Reser Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No