2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Boise State at Colorado State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Canvas Stadium
Boise State
Pac-12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 6.9
- National rank
- 47
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
Colorado State
Pac-12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -6.6
- National rank
- 96
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Boise State
82%
Colorado State
18%
Colorado State 90% CI: 13% – 24% Δ rating 13.5
Boise State is the model's favorite at 82%. Colorado State has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Colorado State — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Boise State offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Colorado State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Canvas Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No