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2026 Week 9

Texas State at Boise State

Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Albertsons Stadium

Texas State
Pac-12
Record
0-0
Rating
2.3
National rank
65
Proj. wins
5.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Boise State
Pac-12
Record
0-0
Rating
3.1
National rank
64
Proj. wins
6.0
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Texas State
40%
Boise State
60%
Boise State 90% CI: 51% – 69% Δ rating 0.8

Boise State is the model's favorite at 60%. Texas State has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Boise State — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Texas State offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Boise State offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Albertsons Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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