2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Utah State at Texas State
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Utah State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -9.3
- National rank
- 106
- Proj. wins
- 2.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas State
Pac-12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -5.9
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Utah State
35%
Texas State
65%
Texas State 90% CI: 56% – 73% Δ rating 3.4
Texas State is the model's favorite at 65%. Utah State has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific night-game value (n=52 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Utah State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Bobcat Stadium (TX)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No