2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Oregon State at Colorado State
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
Canvas Stadium
Oregon State
Pac-12
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -2.5
- National rank
- 78
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Colorado State
Pac-12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -6.6
- National rank
- 96
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oregon State
59%
Colorado State
41%
Colorado State 90% CI: 33% – 51% Δ rating 4.1
Oregon State is the model's favorite at 59%. Colorado State has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Colorado State — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oregon State offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Colorado State offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
54°F
Precipitation
22%
Wind
13 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Canvas Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No