2026 Week 4
Boise State at Western Michigan
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Waldo Stadium
Boise State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.1
- National rank
- 64
- Proj. wins
- 6.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Western Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.4
- National rank
- 78
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Boise State
56%
Western Michigan
44%
Western Michigan 90% CI: 35% – 53% Δ rating 4.5
Boise State is the model's favorite at 56%. Western Michigan has a 44% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Western Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Boise State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Western Michigan offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Waldo Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No