2026 Week 4
Boise State at Western Michigan
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Waldo Stadium
Boise State
Pac-12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 6.9
- National rank
- 47
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
Western Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -2.6
- National rank
- 80
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Boise State
70%
Western Michigan
30%
Western Michigan 90% CI: 23% – 38% Δ rating 9.5
Boise State is the model's favorite at 70%. Western Michigan has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Western Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Boise State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Western Michigan offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
64°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Waldo Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No