2026 Week 4
Colorado State at UTSA
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Alamodome
Colorado State
Pac-12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -6.6
- National rank
- 96
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UTSA
American Athletic
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -1.4
- National rank
- 74
- Proj. wins
- 7.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Colorado State
23%
UTSA
77%
UTSA 90% CI: 70% – 83% Δ rating 5.2
UTSA is the model's favorite at 77%. Colorado State has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.4 rating points baked in for UTSA — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Colorado State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UTSA offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
95°F
Precipitation
1%
Wind
2 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Alamodome
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No