2026 Week 4
Oregon State at UTEP
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Sun Bowl
Oregon State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.9
- National rank
- 126
- Proj. wins
- 2.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UTEP
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -17.5
- National rank
- 129
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oregon State
51%
UTEP
49%
UTEP 90% CI: 40% – 58% Δ rating 1.6
Oregon State is the model's favorite at 51%. UTEP has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for UTEP — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oregon State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UTEP offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Sun Bowl
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No