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UTSA at Texas State

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
UTSA Winner 701014 31
Texas State 01763 26

GIE pre-game call: Texas State at 71%. Miss

Pre-game

GIE win probability

UTSA 29% Underdog
Texas State 71% Favorite
Texas State 90% CI
63–78%
Δ rating
Texas State +4.9

Texas State is the model's favorite at 71%. UTSA has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.3 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.