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2026 Week 2 FINAL

UTSA at Texas State

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC

Bobcat Stadium (TX)

31
UTSA
Final
26
Texas State
Team 1234 T
UTSA 701014 31
Texas State 01763 26

GIE pre-game call: UTSA at 61%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

UTSA
American Athletic
Record
2-1
Rating
-1.4
National rank
74
Proj. wins
7.1
Playoff prob.
0%
Texas State
Pac-12
Record
1-2
Rating
-5.9
National rank
91
Proj. wins
4.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

UTSA
61%
Texas State
39%
Texas State 90% CI: 31% – 49% Δ rating 4.5

UTSA is the model's favorite at 61%. Texas State has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.1 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Venue
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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