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2026 Week 2 FINAL

Sacramento State at Fresno State

Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC

Valley Children's Stadium

3
Sacramento State
Final
49
Fresno State
Team 1234 T
Sacramento State 0030 3
Fresno State 032143 49

GIE pre-game call: Fresno State at 95%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Sacramento State
Mid-American
Record
1-3
Rating
-20.9
National rank
133
Proj. wins
4.8
Playoff prob.
0%
Fresno State
Pac-12
Record
2-1
Rating
-0.4
National rank
71
Proj. wins
7.2
Playoff prob.
5%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Sacramento State
5%
Fresno State
95%
Fresno State 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 20.5

Fresno State is the model's favorite at 95%. Sacramento State has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Fresno State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
Venue
Valley Children's Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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