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2026 Week 13 · Conference game

USC at UCLA

Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Rose Bowl

USC
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
16.9
National rank
16
Proj. wins
7.7
Playoff prob.
17%
UCLA
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
-8.7
National rank
98
Proj. wins
3.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

USC
95%
UCLA
5%
UCLA 90% CI: 4% – 7% Δ rating 25.6

USC is the model's favorite at 95%. UCLA has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

USC offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

UCLA offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Rose Bowl
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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