2026 Week 13 · Conference game
USC at UCLA
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Rose Bowl
USC
Big Ten
- Record
- 4-0
- Rating
- 21.6
- National rank
- 8
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 43%
UCLA
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 9.0
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 8.3
- Playoff prob.
- 18%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
USC
78%
UCLA
22%
UCLA 90% CI: 16% – 29% Δ rating 12.6
USC is the model's favorite at 78%. UCLA has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
USC offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UCLA offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Rose Bowl
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No