2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Penn State at Maryland
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
SECU Stadium
Penn State
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 19.1
- National rank
- 12
- Proj. wins
- 8.8
- Playoff prob.
- 50%
Maryland
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 7.9
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Penn State
81%
Maryland
19%
Maryland 90% CI: 14% – 26% Δ rating 11.2
Penn State is the model's favorite at 81%. Maryland has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.2 rating points baked in for Maryland — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Penn State offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Maryland offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- SECU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No