2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Maryland at USC
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Maryland
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 7.9
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
USC
Big Ten
- Record
- 4-0
- Rating
- 21.6
- National rank
- 8
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 43%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Maryland
12%
USC
88%
USC 90% CI: 84% – 92% Δ rating 13.7
USC is the model's favorite at 88%. Maryland has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for USC — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Maryland offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
USC offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No