2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Penn State at Washington
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Husky Stadium
Penn State
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 19.1
- National rank
- 12
- Proj. wins
- 8.8
- Playoff prob.
- 50%
Washington
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 12.8
- National rank
- 27
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Penn State
63%
Washington
37%
Washington 90% CI: 29% – 46% Δ rating 6.3
Penn State is the model's favorite at 63%. Washington has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Washington — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Penn State offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Washington offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Husky Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No