2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Oregon at Ohio State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Ohio Stadium
Oregon
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 24.4
- National rank
- 5
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Ohio State
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 29.7
- National rank
- 1
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 14%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oregon
22%
Ohio State
78%
Ohio State 90% CI: 71% – 84% Δ rating 5.3
Ohio State is the model's favorite at 78%. Oregon has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Ohio State — venue-specific learned value (n=66 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oregon offense
25 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Ohio State offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Ohio Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No