2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Oregon at Ohio State
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Ohio Stadium
Oregon
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 25.9
- National rank
- 4
- Proj. wins
- 9.3
- Playoff prob.
- 92%
Ohio State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 30.1
- National rank
- 2
- Proj. wins
- 9.1
- Playoff prob.
- 99%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oregon
25%
Ohio State
75%
Ohio State 90% CI: 68% – 82% Δ rating 4.2
Ohio State is the model's favorite at 75%. Oregon has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Ohio State — venue-specific learned value (n=66 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oregon offense
25 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Ohio State offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Ohio Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No