4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 9

Nevada at UCLA

Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Rose Bowl

Nevada
Mountain West
Record
0-0
Rating
-13.4
National rank
116
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%
UCLA
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
-8.7
National rank
98
Proj. wins
3.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Nevada
30%
UCLA
70%
UCLA 90% CI: 62% – 78% Δ rating 4.7

UCLA is the model's favorite at 70%. Nevada has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Nevada offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

UCLA offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Rose Bowl
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

← Home