2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Wisconsin at Iowa
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Kinnick Stadium
Wisconsin
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 56
- Proj. wins
- 6.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Iowa
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 17.3
- National rank
- 18
- Proj. wins
- 8.1
- Playoff prob.
- 23%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Wisconsin
13%
Iowa
87%
Iowa 90% CI: 82% – 90% Δ rating 12.2
Iowa is the model's favorite at 87%. Wisconsin has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for Iowa — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Wisconsin offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Iowa offense
31 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Kinnick Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No