2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Oregon at Illinois
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Oregon
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 25.9
- National rank
- 4
- Proj. wins
- 9.3
- Playoff prob.
- 92%
Illinois
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.9
- National rank
- 24
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oregon
84%
Illinois
16%
Illinois 90% CI: 11% – 21% Δ rating 13.0
Oregon is the model's favorite at 84%. Illinois has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.4 rating points baked in for Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oregon offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Illinois offense
28 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No