2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Oregon at Illinois
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Oregon
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 24.4
- National rank
- 5
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Illinois
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 11.1
- National rank
- 33
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oregon
85%
Illinois
15%
Illinois 90% CI: 11% – 21% Δ rating 13.3
Oregon is the model's favorite at 85%. Illinois has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.4 rating points baked in for Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oregon offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Illinois offense
28 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No