2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Northwestern at Michigan State
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Spartan Stadium
Northwestern
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.8
- National rank
- 51
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Michigan State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 4.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Northwestern
75%
Michigan State
25%
Michigan State 90% CI: 19% – 33% Δ rating 9.2
Northwestern is the model's favorite at 75%. Michigan State has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.4 rating points baked in for Michigan State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Northwestern offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Michigan State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Spartan Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No