2026 Week 6 · Conference game
UCLA at Oregon
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Autzen Stadium
UCLA
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 9.0
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 8.3
- Playoff prob.
- 18%
Oregon
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 24.4
- National rank
- 5
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UCLA
10%
Oregon
90%
Oregon 90% CI: 86% – 93% Δ rating 15.4
Oregon is the model's favorite at 90%. UCLA has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Oregon — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UCLA offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Oregon offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
60°F
Precipitation
7%
Wind
1 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Autzen Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No