2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Maryland at Ohio State
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Ohio Stadium
Maryland
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 7.9
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
Ohio State
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 29.7
- National rank
- 1
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 14%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Maryland
3%
Ohio State
97%
Ohio State 90% CI: 95% – 98% Δ rating 21.8
Ohio State is the model's favorite at 97%. Maryland has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Ohio State — venue-specific learned value (n=66 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Maryland offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Ohio State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Partly cloudy
Temperature
50°F
Precipitation
3%
Wind
2 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Ohio Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No