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2026 Week 5 · Conference game

Maryland at Nebraska

Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

Maryland
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
0.6
National rank
75
Proj. wins
5.5
Playoff prob.
0%
Nebraska
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
6.2
National rank
46
Proj. wins
5.5
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Maryland
27%
Nebraska
73%
Nebraska 90% CI: 65% – 80% Δ rating 5.6

Nebraska is the model's favorite at 73%. Maryland has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Nebraska — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Maryland offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Nebraska offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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