2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Maryland at Nebraska
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Maryland
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 7.9
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
Nebraska
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 14.5
- National rank
- 23
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 36%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Maryland
24%
Nebraska
76%
Nebraska 90% CI: 68% – 82% Δ rating 6.6
Nebraska is the model's favorite at 76%. Maryland has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Nebraska — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Maryland offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Nebraska offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
53°F
Precipitation
16%
Wind
15 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No