2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Nebraska at Michigan State
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Spartan Stadium
Nebraska
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 46
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Michigan State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 4.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Nebraska
76%
Michigan State
24%
Michigan State 90% CI: 18% – 31% Δ rating 9.6
Nebraska is the model's favorite at 76%. Michigan State has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.4 rating points baked in for Michigan State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Nebraska offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Michigan State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Spartan Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No