2026 Week 4 · Conference game
UCLA at Maryland
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 5:30 PM UTC
SECU Stadium
UCLA
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 9.0
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 8.3
- Playoff prob.
- 18%
Maryland
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 7.9
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UCLA
54%
Maryland
46%
Maryland 90% CI: 37% – 55% Δ rating 1.1
UCLA is the model's favorite at 54%. Maryland has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.2 rating points baked in for Maryland — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UCLA offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Maryland offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Light drizzle
Temperature
59°F
Precipitation
21%
Wind
13 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 5:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- SECU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No