2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Northwestern at Indiana
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Northwestern
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-0
- Rating
- 7.7
- National rank
- 44
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 11%
Indiana
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 25.8
- National rank
- 4
- Proj. wins
- 8.7
- Playoff prob.
- 47%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Northwestern
7%
Indiana
93%
Indiana 90% CI: 90% – 95% Δ rating 18.1
Indiana is the model's favorite at 93%. Northwestern has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Indiana — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Northwestern offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Indiana offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
62°F
Precipitation
2%
Wind
6 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No