2026 Week 3 FINAL
Michigan State at Notre Dame
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Notre Dame Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Notre Dame | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
GIE pre-game call: Notre Dame at 97%. Hit.
Recaps
- Notre Dame recap
Notre Dame: 2026 Week 3 recap
Notre Dame sits at No. 3 nationally with a 26.5 rating after dispatching Wisconsin 41–13 in Week 1. The Irish haven't budged in GIE's view—the rating held steady—but the dominance of that opener speaks for itself. Third-down conversion…
- Michigan State recap
Michigan State: 2026 Week 3 recap
Michigan State sits at 62nd overall with a 1–0 record after dispatching Toledo 30–20 in Week 1, though GIE's rating hasn't budged since the preseason—a sign the model views that win as baseline expectation rather than revelation. The…
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 2.3
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 6.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 26.7
- National rank
- 3
- Proj. wins
- 9.1
- Playoff prob.
- 58%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 97%. Michigan State has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for Notre Dame — venue-specific night-game value (n=64 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Notre Dame Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No