2026 Week 1 FINAL
Fresno State at USC
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
0
Fresno State
Final
39
USC
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| USC | 7 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 39 |
GIE pre-game call: USC at 96%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Fresno State
Pac-12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -0.4
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
USC
Big Ten
- Record
- 4-0
- Rating
- 21.6
- National rank
- 8
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 43%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Fresno State
4%
USC
96%
USC 90% CI: 94% – 97% Δ rating 22.0
USC is the model's favorite at 96%. Fresno State has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for USC — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No