2026 Week 1 FINAL
Boise State at Oregon
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Autzen Stadium
27
Boise State
Final
34
Oregon
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 27 |
| Oregon | 0 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 34 |
GIE pre-game call: Oregon at 92%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Boise State
Pac-12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 6.9
- National rank
- 47
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
Oregon
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 24.4
- National rank
- 5
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Boise State
8%
Oregon
92%
Oregon 90% CI: 89% – 95% Δ rating 17.5
Oregon is the model's favorite at 92%. Boise State has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Oregon — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Autzen Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No