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2026 Week 1 FINAL

Western Michigan at Michigan

Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC

Michigan Stadium

12
Western Michigan
Final
13
Michigan
Team 1234 T
Western Michigan 3306 12
Michigan 7006 13

GIE pre-game call: Michigan at 89%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Western Michigan
Mid-American
Record
2-1
Rating
-2.6
National rank
80
Proj. wins
7.9
Playoff prob.
2%
Michigan
Big Ten
Record
3-0
Rating
15.1
National rank
21
Proj. wins
7.9
Playoff prob.
9%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Western Michigan
11%
Michigan
89%
Michigan 90% CI: 85% – 92% Δ rating 17.7

Michigan is the model's favorite at 89%. Western Michigan has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.7 rating points baked in for Michigan — venue-specific night-game value (n=67 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Venue
Michigan Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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