2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Lane Stadium
Virginia
ACC
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 10.5
- National rank
- 36
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Virginia Tech
ACC
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 28
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 31%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Virginia
35%
Virginia Tech
65%
Virginia Tech 90% CI: 57% – 73% Δ rating 1.9
Virginia Tech is the model's favorite at 65%. Virginia has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Virginia Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Virginia offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Virginia Tech offense
31 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Lane Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No