Conference game
Duke at Wake Forest
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Duke 23% Underdog
Wake Forest 77% Favorite
Wake Forest is the model's favorite at 77%. Duke has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Wake Forest — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Duke offense
30 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Wake Forest offense
Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup