2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Stanford at California
Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
California Memorial Stadium
Stanford
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.8
- National rank
- 112
- Proj. wins
- 2.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
California
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.2
- National rank
- 80
- Proj. wins
- 5.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Stanford
15%
California
85%
California 90% CI: 79% – 89% Δ rating 8.6
California is the model's favorite at 85%. Stanford has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for California — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Stanford offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
California offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- California Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No